A 46 year old client with two children at secondary school asks a planner to value a mature utility share she is considering for her taxable account. The company has just paid an annual dividend of $2.40 a share, and dividends are expected to grow at a constant 5% a year indefinitely. The risk free rate is 4%, the equity market risk premium is 6%, and the share's beta is 1.2. Using the Capital Asset Pricing Model to set the required return and the constant growth dividend discount model to value the share, what is its intrinsic value?
- AApproximately $40.65 Correct
- BApproximately $22.50
- CApproximately $38.71
- DApproximately $50.40
Why A is correct: This grows the current dividend one year to $2.52 and divides it by the required return of 11.2% less the growth rate of 5%, giving 2.52 divided by 0.062, which is the correct application of the constant growth dividend discount model.
Why B is wrong: This divides next year's dividend by the 11.2% required return without subtracting the 5% growth rate, which values the share as a level perpetuity and ignores the rising dividend stream that is the whole point of the constant growth model.
Why C is wrong: This uses the $2.40 dividend that has already been paid rather than growing it one year to $2.52, which is the single most common error in this model, since the numerator must be the dividend expected one period from now.
Why D is wrong: This sets the required return at 10% by adding the market risk premium to the risk free rate without multiplying by the beta of 1.2, understating the discount rate for a share riskier than the market and inflating the value.