Daniel is 59 and intends to retire at 62. He holds 900,000 dollars in a rollover Individual Retirement Account, 12,000 dollars of cash outside it, no defined benefit pension, and he will claim Social Security at 67. He needs 55,000 dollars a year from the portfolio for the five years between retirement and claiming. After three strong market years his risk tolerance questionnaire scores him as aggressive, and he asks his planner to move the account to 90 per cent equities. Which assessment should the planner give him?
- AThe questionnaire score should govern the allocation, because risk tolerance measures the client's own willingness to bear loss and the choice of how much loss to bear belongs to the client rather than to the planner
- BRisk perception and risk tolerance are two labels for the same attribute, so the sound course is to re-score the questionnaire after the next market fall and adopt whichever allocation the lower of the two scores supports
- CBecause risk tolerance is a stable personality trait, the planner should simply record the aggressive score and then set the allocation solely from the return the portfolio must earn to deliver 55,000 dollars a year for five years
- DHis risk capacity is limited by a three year horizon to the first withdrawal and by a cash reserve of only 12,000 dollars, so the allocation should be held below his stated tolerance and the reason for the constraint explained to him Correct
Why A is wrong: Client autonomy is real and tolerance is genuinely the client's own attribute, which makes this persuasive, but tolerance describes willingness only, and a plan built on willingness while ignoring the ability to absorb a loss leaves the withdrawal years unfunded.
Why B is wrong: Scores really do drift with market conditions, which makes the observation feel informed, but perception is the client's reading of how risky conditions are now while tolerance is a far more stable trait, and setting policy from the lowest reading locks in the worst moment.
Why C is wrong: Tolerance is indeed comparatively stable and a required return calculation is part of the analysis, but building an allocation from required return alone drives clients into more equity risk exactly when the plan is tightest and ignores capacity altogether.
Why D is correct: Capacity is set by the plan facts rather than by feelings, and a portfolio that must fund 55,000 dollars a year from year three cannot absorb a deep equity fall, so capacity binds and the constraint has to be explained rather than imposed silently.